Jacob Lopez
LHP
ATH
10
HRs Allowed
11.1%
HR Rate (Pool)
16.5%
Overall HR/FB
6.56
FIP
6.32
xFIP
+0.24
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
16.5%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
78th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
66.7%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
6.56
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
96th pctile
6.32
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.24
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
64th pctile
11.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
90
Pool Matchups
10
HRs Allowed (Pool)
9
Top-15 Matchups
3
HRs to Top-15
11.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 98.1mph | · | · | · | Down -11.1pp |
| Last 15 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 5.6% | 0.5 | 96.8mph | 104.6mph | 27.0° | 410ft | Down -5.5pp |
| Last 30 | 45 | 5 | 5 | 11.1% | 1.0 | 97.7mph | 102.8mph | 25.6° | 390ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.3
Avg Max EV
112.1
Max EV Allowed
50
Hard-Hit Proxy · 66.7%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
102.6
Avg HR EV
28.1°
Avg HR Launch
387
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Cody Bellinger | 106.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Ben Rice | 106.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Max Schuemann | 105.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Paul Goldschmidt | 104.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Zach Neto | 107.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Mike Trout | 104.6mph | 104.6mph | 27° | 410ft | Yes |
| 2026-05-19 | Jorge Soler | 102.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Jordan Walker | 110.5mph | 105.4mph | 20° | 381ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | Mike Trout | #5 | 85 | Angel Stadium | 104.6mph | 27.0° | 410.0ft |
| 2026-05-14 | Jordan Walker | #2 | 82 | Sutter Health Park | 105.4mph | 20.0° | 381.0ft |
| 2026-05-14 | Victor Scott II | #145 | 24 | Sutter Health Park | 97.6mph | 31.0° | 397.0ft |
| 2026-05-08 | Pete Alonso | #13 | 54 | Camden Yards | 107.0mph | 20.0° | 373.0ft |
| 2026-05-02 | Kyle Manzardo | #151 | 25 | Sutter Health Park | 99.3mph | 30.0° | 389.0ft |
| 2026-04-21 | Cal Raleigh | #70 | 47 | T-Mobile Park | 104.3mph | 37.0° | 367.0ft |
| 2026-04-16 | Josh Jung | #59 | 49 | Sutter Health Park | 96.9mph | 38.0° | 364.0ft |
| 2026-04-11 | Brandon Nimmo | #113 | 31 | Citi Field | 105.7mph | 24.0° | 396.0ft |
| 2026-04-05 | Christian Walker | #35 | 47 | Sutter Health Park | 98.5mph | 28.0° | 397.0ft |
| 2026-04-05 | Jake Meyers | #200 | 30 | Sutter Health Park | 106.5mph | 26.0° | 393.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 356 | 34.1% | +1.6 | 84.2 | 27.0° | 4 |
| Slider | 315 | 30.2% | +1.1 | 74.7 | 20.3° | 3 |
| Cutter | 207 | 19.8% | +0.3 | 79.7 | 33.2° | 1 |
| Changeup | 107 | 10.2% | +5.5 | 79.2 | 4.6° | 2 |
| Sinker | 59 | 5.7% | -1.2 | 80.4 | 22.2° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
66.7%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | José Caballero | #173 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Austin Wells | #146 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Anthony Volpe | #99 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Trent Grisham | #96 | 50 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Max Schuemann | #62 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Paul Goldschmidt | #51 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Cody Bellinger | #47 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Ben Rice | #8 | 78 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Aaron Judge | #7 | 80 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Nolan Schanuel | #184 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Logan O'Hoppe | #159 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Josh Lowe | #121 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Yoán Moncada | #120 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Oswald Peraza | #57 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Jo Adell | #43 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Zach Neto | #31 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Jorge Soler | #26 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Mike Trout | #5 | 85 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-14 | Yohel Pozo | #156 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Victor Scott II | #145 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-05-14 | Masyn Winn | #104 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | José Fermín | #95 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Iván Herrera | #67 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | JJ Wetherholt | #44 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Nathan Church | #38 | 53 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Nolan Gorman | #32 | 55 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Jordan Walker | #2 | 82 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-08 | Blaze Alexander | #62 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Taylor Ward | #49 | 40 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Dylan Beavers | #46 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Leody Taveras | #37 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Jeremiah Jackson | #36 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Coby Mayo | #16 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Samuel Basallo | #14 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Pete Alonso | #13 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-08 | Gunnar Henderson | #8 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Kyle Manzardo | #151 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-05-02 | Bo Naylor | #146 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Steven Kwan | #135 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Brayan Rocchio | #128 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Chase DeLauter | #52 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Rhys Hoskins | #46 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Angel Martínez | #45 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | José Ramírez | #29 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Daniel Schneemann | #22 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Leo Rivas | #152 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Josh Naylor | #119 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Brendan Donovan | #111 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Cole Young | #90 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Julio Rodríguez | #89 | 44 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-21 | J.P. Crawford | #85 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Randy Arozarena | #79 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Cal Raleigh | #70 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-21 | Luke Raley | #6 | 77 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Sam Haggerty | #178 | · | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Andrew McCutchen | #177 | · | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Kyle Higashioka | #176 | · | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Josh Smith | #68 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Ezequiel Duran | #60 | 48 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Josh Jung | #59 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-16 | Wyatt Langford | #33 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Brandon Nimmo | #28 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Jake Burger | #5 | 77 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Tyrone Taylor | #218 | 19 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Jeff McNeil | #167 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Starling Marte | #127 | 27 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Brandon Nimmo | #113 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-11 | Mark Vientos | #110 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Francisco Lindor | #98 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Brett Baty | #79 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Pete Alonso | #54 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Juan Soto | #40 | 47 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Jake Meyers | #200 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-05 | Mauricio Dubon | #160 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Cam Smith | #97 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Victor Caratini | #74 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Yainer Diaz | #57 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Jeremy Pena | #53 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Jose Altuve | #43 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Isaac Paredes | #39 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Christian Walker | #35 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-03-30 | Nick Allen | #223 | 11 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Ozzie Albies | #165 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Jurickson Profar | #101 | 40 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Austin Riley | #94 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Michael Harris II | #92 | 38 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Marcell Ozuna | #66 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Matt Olson | #64 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Drake Baldwin | #43 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Ronald Acuna Jr. | #20 | 49 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |